PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb6510229d322ffc73fb146d954099dfa95662089

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$159.6k
Markets traded
499
Open portfolio
$159.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded499
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.105$20.89$6.96
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? · Yes0.0950.148$9.69+$3.44
Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.051$8.45$17.80
Will Elon register any party before 2027? · Yes0.1800.105$6.31$4.46
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.1700.022$6.23$40.82
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.1200.029$6.04$18.96
Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1680.043$5.87$17.34
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1140.041$5.03$8.96
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0290.011$4.46$6.79
Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1140.035$4.37$9.71
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · No0.8100.998$4.37+$0.82
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · No0.7500.875$4.37+$0.62
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? · No0.8600.990$4.12+$0.54
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? · Yes0.3401.000$3.77+$2.49
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? · No0.6660.895$3.74+$0.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 21:02Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?SELL0.0826$4.13
08-01 03:14Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?SELL0.21$4.20
07-21 02:15Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.065$1.60
06-26 12:01Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.12$15.32
06-26 09:19Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.12$95.48
06-26 07:24Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.13$3.25
06-26 06:09Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.15$19.71
06-13 02:49Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?SELL0.18$12.60
06-13 02:40Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?SELL0.21$6.30
06-10 19:35Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.48$13.64
06-10 11:52Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.2476$3.09
06-10 11:50Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.25$13.25
06-10 04:33Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?SELL0.08$1.83
06-09 01:56Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.28$1.75
06-09 01:54Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.3$1.88