0xb6510229d322ffc73fb146d954099dfa95662089
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $159.6k
- Markets traded
- 499
- Open portfolio
- $159.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded499
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.17at 0.651Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$28.66at 0.744BitBoy convicted?
- +$25.49at 0.460Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$24.18at 0.427Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?
- +$24.16at 0.397Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 21:02 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.0826 | $4.13 |
| 08-01 03:14 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 07-21 02:15 | Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.065 | $1.60 |
| 06-26 12:01 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $15.32 |
| 06-26 09:19 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $95.48 |
| 06-26 07:24 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.25 |
| 06-26 06:09 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $19.71 |
| 06-13 02:49 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $12.60 |
| 06-13 02:40 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.21 | $6.30 |
| 06-10 19:35 | Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $13.64 |
| 06-10 11:52 | Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | SELL | 0.2476 | $3.09 |
| 06-10 11:50 | Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | SELL | 0.25 | $13.25 |
| 06-10 04:33 | Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.83 |
| 06-09 01:56 | Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.75 |
| 06-09 01:54 | Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.88 |