saiwang2026
0x025d0f451f484b675d3511cc6786d139e1cc5b22
- Realised P&L
- $-269.55
- Volume
- $29.7k
- Markets traded
- 495
- Open portfolio
- $245.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded495
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.65at 0.028Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
- +$52.89at 0.159Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$51.40at 0.287Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
- +$31.58at 0.180Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$18.57at 0.194Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 16:00 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.0779999997 | $1.01 |
| 10-03 15:54 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.64 |
| 10-01 15:56 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.43 |
| 10-01 15:36 | Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.8199999833 | $4.90 |
| 10-01 14:59 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.96 |
| 10-01 12:00 | Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999976 | $1.01 |
| 10-01 11:05 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999972 | $1.01 |
| 10-01 10:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999997 | $2.58 |
| 09-18 02:44 | Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.36 |
| 09-18 02:44 | Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.01 |
| 09-18 02:37 | Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.0599999976 | $1.01 |
| 09-18 02:37 | Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.0599999976 | $1.01 |
| 09-18 01:14 | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.01 |
| 09-18 01:02 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.309999954 | $1.01 |
| 09-18 01:00 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |