PolyBot

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Traders

saiwang2026

0x025d0f451f484b675d3511cc6786d139e1cc5b22

Realised P&L
$-269.55
Volume
$29.7k
Markets traded
495
Open portfolio
$245.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded495
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2390.865$25.61+$18.54
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.6970.855$24.55+$4.55
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.245$18.57+$7.96
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.009$15.42+$1.71
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2500.155$12.40−$7.60
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1630.090$10.95−$8.95
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0800.045$10.52−$8.23
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.8400.960$10.42+$1.30
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.2860.100$6.99−$13.01
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8000.951$6.44+$1.02
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.2260.373$5.01+$1.98
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8200.835$4.99+$0.09
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · No0.8300.834$4.84+$0.02
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.0300.025$4.81−$0.85
Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat? · Yes0.0500.035$4.46−$1.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 16:00Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?BUY0.0779999997$1.01
10-03 15:54Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.13$1.64
10-01 15:56Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.07$3.43
10-01 15:36Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.8199999833$4.90
10-01 14:59Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?SELL0.19$0.96
10-01 12:00Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?BUY0.0599999976$1.01
10-01 11:05Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0699999972$1.01
10-01 10:53Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0699999997$2.58
09-18 02:44Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?BUY0.05$5.36
09-18 02:44Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?BUY0.05$1.01
09-18 02:37Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?BUY0.0599999976$1.01
09-18 02:37Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?BUY0.0599999976$1.01
09-18 01:14Will the Democratic Party win the IL-15 House seat?BUY0.032$1.01
09-18 01:02Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.309999954$1.01
09-18 01:00Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?SELL0.4$2.00