PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-09
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.19. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.21. Range 0.08 to 0.21. 156 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.20986986
0.211,4362,422
0.222,1874,609
0.2354,614
0.242104,825
0.251,2526,077
0.267736,850
0.271,4128,262
0.289009,162
0.29129,174
0.301549,329
0.31229,351

Spread0.02Mid0.19

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.181,0971,097
0.177551,852
0.163,1485,001
0.151,2556,256
0.145006,756
0.071,0867,841
0.063,83311,675
0.055,25016,925
0.045,40822,333
0.037,37529,708
0.0213,44543,153
0.0126,75869,911

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.821,0971,097
0.837551,852
0.843,1485,001
0.851,2556,256
0.865006,756
0.931,0867,841
0.943,83311,675
0.955,25016,925
0.965,40822,333
0.977,37529,708
0.9813,44543,153
0.9926,75869,911

Spread0.02Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.80986986
0.791,4362,422
0.782,1874,609
0.7754,614
0.762104,825
0.751,2526,077
0.747736,850
0.731,4128,262
0.729009,162
0.71129,174
0.701549,329
0.69229,351

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes13,555.38
art369864Yes5,796.19
gambler925Yes4,503.22
piepedYes3,025.23
ZD-ELO-M3Yes2,419
0xfd747dc50ee153ca29fc596c8b2ecbfdc643b0bc-1792121336973Yes1,881.3
ndb1Yes1,722.88
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes1,440.04
0x49F206Yes1,141.9
puravidaYes1,000.05
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Yes899.99
0xC1C3d8cc240B58708bD64182649593d9AC36C2E6-1771021211384Yes740.92
bdr2Yes700
drdeYes591.8
samsmith123Yes564.44
bobo035Yes546.61
qfwdsd1Yes469
ASportGuyYes409.97
yurlppyYes400
0x0b9b…4a25Yes372

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:38:48SELLNo0.7970$55.40
12:38:48BUYYes0.2160$12.52
04:34:44BUYYes0.232$6.34
04:34:44SELLNo0.837$29.60
12:05:21SELLNo0.80$0.01
12:05:21SELLYes0.180$0.00
11:12:45SELLYes0.1926$5.03
11:12:45SELLYes0.1924$4.47
13:06:27BUYNo0.8422$18.59
13:06:16SELLYes0.17127$21.61
13:04:28SELLYes0.17128$21.76
13:04:22BUYNo0.82999991126$5.05
13:04:19BUYNo0.8225$20.12
13:04:19BUYNo0.8217$14.19
13:04:19BUYNo0.8213$10.66
13:04:19BUYNo0.825$4.22
13:04:19BUYNo0.8210$8.20
12:33:06SELLNo0.8130$24.30
12:27:03BUYNo0.8230$24.60
12:26:58BUYNo0.84118$99.13
12:26:51SELLNo0.840$32.00
12:26:51BUYNo0.8163$130.40
12:26:51SELLYes0.19100$19.00
12:26:49BUYYes0.17903178821,085$194.19
09:15:15BUYYes0.17100$17.00