0xC1C3d8cc240B58708bD64182649593d9AC36C2E6-1771021211384
0xc1c3d8cc240b58708bd64182649593d9ac36c2e6
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $22.5k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $145.95
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · Yes | 0.202 | 0.190 | $140.78 | −$9.22 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.015 | $5.18 | −$4.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$490.20at 0.503Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5
- +$299.64at 0.686Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
- +$287.17at 0.403Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Khachanov (+1.5)
- +$256.15at 0.547Spread: Thunder (-13.5)
- +$144.03at 0.607Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Dellien
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 11:14 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.955 | $132.63 |
| 09-18 10:36 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.1466606291 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 15:33 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 08-19 17:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7 | $62.50 |
| 08-11 03:57 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999977 | $50.00 |
| 08-11 03:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5599999969 | $50.00 |
| 08-11 03:49 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.0280000001 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 10:40 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? | BUY | 0.0859999927 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 10:31 | Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.006917507 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 10:16 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0362784428 | $15.00 |
| 06-01 03:20 | World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland | SELL | 0.999 | $212.55 |
| 05-31 11:29 | World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland | BUY | 0.4699999985 | $100.00 |
| 05-30 19:16 | World Championships: Canada vs. Finland | SELL | 0.4930434783 | $40.82 |
| 05-30 18:28 | World Championships: Canada vs. Finland | BUY | 0.2415330586 | $20.00 |
| 05-30 18:26 | World Championships: Canada vs. Finland | SELL | 0.7082365106 | $75.34 |