art369864
0xbc14da2792fc050a490458aef680d28caf24ea95
- Realised P&L
- $-7.5k
- Volume
- $41.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.370 | 0.265 | $1.3k | −$525.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Down | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Down | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$595.26at 0.687Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$271.56at 0.169Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$-9.29at 0.280Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$-159.73at 0.340Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 10:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.2463636364 | $13.55 |
| 10-05 10:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.2617208492 | $126.23 |
| 10-05 10:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.2593156778 | $359.16 |
| 10-05 09:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.6903184713 | $433.52 |
| 10-05 05:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $52.00 |
| 10-04 15:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.2466237325 | $369.93 |
| 10-04 13:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |