bdr2
0xb54a3769b1fb212870e56aaadb397c1840ccc622
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $355.5k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $756.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$762.00at 0.146Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
- +$632.44at 0.081Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$581.23at 0.270Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?
- +$449.70at 0.055Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
- +$376.21at 0.059Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:05 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 09-17 15:46 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.927 | $74.16 |
| 09-17 10:40 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 09-17 10:36 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 09-16 08:41 | Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.046 | $3.22 |
| 09-16 08:29 | Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.11 |
| 09-16 08:27 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 08:25 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 09-16 07:29 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.917 | $73.36 |
| 09-16 07:19 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 09-16 07:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 09-15 13:46 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 09-15 10:23 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 09-14 20:23 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 07:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $20.00 |