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Traders

ndb1

0xfea31bc088000ff909be1dfd8d0e3f2c7ef2d227

Realised P&L
$2.76M
Volume
$139.78M
Markets traded
3,014
Open portfolio
$5.83M

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded3,014
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration85.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:22Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio?SELL0.001$0.52
11-01 16:21Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?SELL0.008$0.35
11-01 03:582026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.994$2.9k
11-01 03:57Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?SELL0.25$26.1k
11-01 03:56Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.57$60.7k
11-01 03:56Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.57$80.5k
11-01 03:55Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.56$34.1k
11-01 03:55Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.56$24.2k
11-01 02:11Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.81063663$1.9k
11-01 02:10Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.12$35.34
11-01 01:272026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.71$94.2k
11-01 01:262026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.23$7.0k
11-01 00:31Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.2349313645$222.3k
11-01 00:31Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.24$71.3k
10-31 18:122026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.994$9.4k
Trader ndb1 · PolyBot Pro