ASportGuy
0x22cfc6454469112b559c284c28e7e77b2718a9de
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $33.1k
- Markets traded
- 255
- Open portfolio
- $785.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded255
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.52at 0.601Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$105.73at 0.245Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5
- +$102.66at 0.561Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5
- +$72.00at 0.760Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$54.71at 0.716Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 00:58 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.79 | $216.26 |
| 10-19 00:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.787 | $3.94 |
| 10-19 00:57 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $120.00 |
| 10-18 20:32 | Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 10-18 16:29 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 10-18 00:17 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $41.00 |
| 10-17 16:39 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 10-17 06:22 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $46.20 |
| 10-16 16:41 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 10-16 16:39 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $22.05 |
| 10-16 09:15 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 10-16 09:10 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 10-16 08:21 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 10-16 08:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 10-16 08:11 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $18.89 |