PolyBot

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Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-17

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.016. down 0.004 over the period, from 0.020. Range 0.002 to 0.061. 167 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0278484
0.028100184
0.02930214
0.03219234
0.05012246
0.06230276
0.06339315
0.06430345
0.06560405
0.067100505
0.06881586
0.09845631

Spread0.024Mid0.015

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.003116116
0.002200316
0.00110,26710,583

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.997116116
0.998200316
0.99910,26710,583

Spread0.024Mid0.985

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9738484
0.972100184
0.97130214
0.96819234
0.95012246
0.93830276
0.93739315
0.93630345
0.93560405
0.933100505
0.93281586
0.90245631

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403Yes997.99
HaradwaithYes301.12
youtube-traderYes299.86
akko123Yes137.13
AJSVYes115.13
12424258Yes94.83
843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.Yes84.27
LesterDiamondYes51.18
Hugin-og-MuninYes40
0xd0d9…30f2Yes40
VonVonaghYes39
.MentheYes38.74
PPMTYes29.91
balthazarYes20
0x230d59Fa945B31660740EA95b8C9F774ED303fBB-1774601889454Yes19.47
TENETENETYes10
dsfd3Yes10
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes5.46
IntaSewerYes5
triklozoidYes5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:13:02BUYYes0.010545100595$1.00
14:38:11BUYNo0.99920$19.98
14:36:12BUYNo0.99919$18.72
14:20:24BUYYes0.0035$0.01
14:20:21BUYYes0.0035$0.01
14:20:18BUYYes0.0021565$0.01
14:20:17BUYYes0.0025$0.01
14:20:14BUYYes0.0025$0.01
14:20:12BUYYes0.0025$0.01
14:20:09BUYYes0.0025$0.01
14:20:08BUYYes0.0025$0.01
01:33:12SELLYes0.0010$0.00
00:39:59BUYNo0.99920$19.98
00:29:33BUYNo0.99920$19.98
20:30:14BUYNo0.99930$29.97
20:11:17BUYNo0.99920$19.98
15:57:39BUYNo0.99910$9.99
02:40:41SELLYes0.0011$0.00
01:17:03BUYNo0.99883769160$59.94
01:17:03BUYNo0.99910$9.99
01:17:03BUYNo0.99820$19.96
01:17:03BUYNo0.99830$29.94
01:14:29BUYNo0.9982$2.25
22:07:03BUYNo0.99810$9.98
22:07:03BUYNo0.9985$5.06