PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

akko123

0x403d5f204dfcdb657cb5a1b4f35b2f19fe23b04d

Realised P&L
$573.77
Volume
$656.8k
Markets traded
1,954
Open portfolio
$76.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,954
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election? · Yes0.0010.005$2.20+$1.80
Will Torreense win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes0.0010.006$1.89+$1.60
Will Universidad Católica win Copa Libertadores? · Yes0.0010.011$1.65+$1.50
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0010.009$1.53+$1.35
Will Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? · Yes0.0010.004$1.31+$0.94
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.0010.003$1.25+$0.75
Will Legalise Cannabis win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election? · Yes0.0010.003$1.17+$0.70
Will Rashee Rice finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? · Yes0.0010.005$1.13+$0.92
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? · Yes0.0010.003$1.04+$0.69
Will Dave Roberts win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.0010.002$1.00+$0.50
Will the St. Louis Cardinals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.0010.002$1.00+$0.50
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0010.005$0.90+$0.72
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22? · Yes0.0010.004$0.86+$0.67
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.0010.003$0.80+$0.48
Will Arizona Cardinals finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? · Yes0.0010.005$0.78+$0.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 12:28Will Timur Geraskin win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?SELL0.001$0.06
09-16 12:25Will Yevgeny Tyurin win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?SELL0.001$0.03
09-16 12:18Will Rosario Central win Copa Libertadores?SELL0.01$0.10
09-15 12:44Will Hungary win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?SELL0.012$0.28
09-15 12:38Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.013$0.31
09-15 00:09Will Alan Gagloev win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?SELL0.001$0.11
09-15 00:09Will Oleg Kozaev win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?SELL0.001$0.10
09-15 00:08Will Atsamaz Bibilov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?SELL0.001$0.07
09-14 23:59Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?SELL0.035$0.70
09-14 00:24Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?SELL0.015$0.91
09-14 00:14Will Yevgeny Tyurin win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?SELL0.0012050777$0.29
09-14 00:13Will Party of Pensioners win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections?SELL0.001$0.21
09-14 00:13Will Dmitry Masserov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?SELL0.0013333333$0.20
09-14 00:10Will "Widow's Bay" win 10 or more awards at the Emmys?SELL0.001$0.07
09-14 00:10Will Gerran Howell – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?SELL0.003$0.09