12424258
0x271bc8f25199f797f0b46e078606e82d1c97bff0
- Realised P&L
- $-21.50
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $14.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.58at 0.283Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$5.81at 0.554Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
- +$4.67at 0.401Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$4.07at 0.340Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
- +$3.93at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 10:46 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:46 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $2.84 |
| 10-01 10:43 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.0135338346 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:43 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:42 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2829999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.1523809524 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 00:12 | Will Trump name an AI czar by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0056416838 | $0.11 |
| 09-30 10:24 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:24 | Will Trump name an AI czar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0513317167 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 13:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:16 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:13 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0105451005 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 05:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.83 |