PolyBot

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Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.81. up 0.12 over the period, from 0.69. Range 0.67 to 0.81. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8121,60621,606
0.8247,06868,674
0.83114,801183,475
0.84279,595463,070
0.85219,590682,660
0.865,262687,922
0.875,350693,272
0.885,118698,390
0.8915,393713,783
0.905,006718,789
0.915,210723,999
0.9213,053737,052

Spread0.01Mid0.81

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8024,23424,234
0.7987,998112,232
0.78257,874370,106
0.77246,955617,060
0.7626,500643,560
0.7539,512683,072
0.7432,056715,128
0.7313,864728,992
0.727,440736,432
0.712,877739,309
0.7035,603774,912
0.6916,036790,948

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2024,23424,234
0.2187,998112,232
0.22257,874370,106
0.23246,955617,060
0.2426,500643,560
0.2539,512683,072
0.2632,056715,128
0.2713,864728,992
0.287,440736,432
0.292,877739,309
0.3035,603774,912
0.3116,036790,948

Spread0.01Mid0.20

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1921,60621,606
0.1847,06868,674
0.17114,801183,475
0.16279,595463,070
0.15219,590682,660
0.145,262687,922
0.135,350693,272
0.125,118698,390
0.1115,393713,783
0.105,006718,789
0.095,210723,999
0.0813,053737,052

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
dubdubdub2Yes455,715.06
lastminwinYes104,421.38
vajrapaniYes93,476.95
0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8Yes84,275.44
carlos484Yes47,803.58
RichiddYes42,471.59
Melody626Yes38,380.49
plusevonlyYes36,564.82
DonaldinhoTrumpitoYes34,503.08
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAYes31,199.38
0x3E73134C7db1C631607e4A330da916e690eeA49C-1772444757037Yes30,383.37
ChelseaoneYes30,000
0x03029253946a5d44901990b09f620a2f102a0111Yes25,675.68
0xFF91872AfB50d2416A34D7f16D9dd366C4ef3644-1753435130372Yes25,318.23
ZacceerieYes21,389.91
0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2Yes20,921.02
0xB9d89bef8c935082F6a86355bD9667402D92275A-1751857844680Yes19,999.99
apmtYes16,349.95
peasantYes15,000
comrademariooYes12,345.68

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:35:37SELLYes0.85,489$4391.19
13:35:13BUYNo0.2300$60.00
13:35:12BUYNo0.2100$20.00
13:35:12BUYNo0.272$14.37
13:34:31BUYYes0.816,173$5000.00
13:33:25SELLYes0.85$4.00
13:30:42BUYYes0.8149$40.03
13:27:27BUYYes0.8099999993123$100.00
13:26:55BUYYes0.80999997416$5.00
13:25:06BUYYes0.813,271$10616.58
13:23:48BUYYes0.813$10.00
13:22:24BUYYes0.81$1.00
13:21:27SELLNo0.20$0.00
13:21:25BUYNo0.21223$46.82
13:17:27BUYYes0.850$40.00
13:16:55BUYNo0.2110$2.10
13:14:30BUYYes0.861$48.57
13:07:46BUYYes0.890$72.00
13:05:37BUYYes0.85$4.00
13:04:22BUYYes0.825$20.00
12:54:31BUYYes0.81$1.00
12:53:16BUYYes0.810$8.30
12:42:27BUYNo0.20999999991,203$252.54
12:35:18SELLYes0.795$3.95
12:30:16BUYYes0.8101$81.00