dubdubdub2
0x9c99d17ed70d628cff56c5d7bec2eaf567137250
- Realised P&L
- $147.4k
- Volume
- $1.43M
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $826.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.766 | 0.785 | $357.7k | +$8.6k |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.786 | 0.785 | $272.9k | −$534.40 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.715 | 0.725 | $148.4k | +$2.0k |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.714 | 0.715 | $47.0k | +$69.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$126.8kat 0.892Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$14.8kat 0.874Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$5.8kat 0.957Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 09:20 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $114.5k |
| 10-31 09:20 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7840648232 | $159.0k |
| 10-31 09:05 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $592.00 |
| 10-31 09:05 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.4k |
| 10-31 07:51 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $22.7k |
| 10-31 07:50 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7316135724 | $76.9k |
| 10-31 07:50 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7156229508 | $25.0k |
| 10-31 07:28 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.1k |
| 10-31 07:27 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7679858631 | $179.4k |
| 10-31 07:27 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $85.2k |
| 10-31 07:27 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7583844557 | $84.6k |
| 10-31 06:59 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6886466368 | $29.5k |
| 10-30 21:44 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $16.4k |
| 10-30 21:43 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.4k |
| 10-30 21:41 | Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $9.7k |