PolyBot

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Traders

0xB9d89bef8c935082F6a86355bD9667402D92275A-1751857844680

0xb9d89bef8c935082f6a86355bd9667402d92275a

Realised P&L
$48.2k
Volume
$2.80M
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$987.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8760.982$383.1k+$41.3k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.9080.945$319.5k+$12.6k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9060.945$231.5k+$9.4k
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.8050.981$34.7k+$6.2k
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.6000.695$7.0k+$950.00
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · No0.2910.525$5.4k+$2.4k
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2900.525$5.2k+$2.3k
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6000.705$722.76+$107.64
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$11.00
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$10.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 19:36Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.92$5.0k
10-08 02:45Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.995$12.1k
09-17 21:14Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.89$14.3k
05-11 02:41Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.929$17.0k
05-11 02:40Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.998$60.9k
05-09 04:45Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?BUY0.001$10.00
05-09 04:44Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
05-01 05:56Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.996$15.9k
05-01 05:55Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.997$46.2k
04-30 22:57Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY0.997$49.9k
04-30 22:54Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY0.997$51.9k
04-30 21:47Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY0.997$18.7k
04-23 05:06Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.986$18.3k
04-10 23:47Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.9598419269$33.7k
04-10 20:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.954$4.9k