PolyBot

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Traders

DonaldinhoTrumpito

0x7523cafcee7bcf2db9a79d80e0d79b88a9a54c4c

Realised P&L
$-329.4k
Volume
$56.27M
Markets traded
1,926
Open portfolio
$197.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,926
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9800.973$48.6k−$358.25
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8300.937$46.8k+$5.3k
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9770.972$24.3k−$137.46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.6070.855$19.8k+$5.8k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.8400.992$19.8k+$3.0k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No0.7500.935$18.7k+$3.7k
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9400.961$9.6k+$205.00
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.7930.910$4.9k+$626.79
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-08 House seat? · Yes0.9300.945$2.4k+$37.50
Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat? · No0.9300.965$1.4k+$52.50
French election called by December 31, 2026? · No0.8140.953$1.1k+$158.16
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? · Yes0.6550.130$201.31−$812.84
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0070.205$2.05+$1.98
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0070.006$0.07−$0.01
Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Sebastian Baez · Sebastian Baez0.5800.000$0.00−$8.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 12:56Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9792529548$21.1k
10-11 12:56Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.977$1.4k
09-13 17:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?SELL0.999$149.8k
09-07 19:52US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander BlockxBUY0.67$14.6k
09-07 19:25US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander BlockxBUY0.72$2.7k
09-07 19:22US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander BlockxSELL0.27$1.6k
09-07 06:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?BUY0.996$106.1k
09-06 20:32US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos AlcarazBUY0.995$12.6k
09-06 16:58Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.7799116869$2.4k
09-06 01:47US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Botic van de ZandschulpSELL0.89$26.7k
08-31 20:29Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.34$42.50
08-31 19:05US Open ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardBUY0.93$15.1k
08-31 19:04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.84$84.0k
08-31 18:54US Open ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardBUY0.93$2.64
08-31 18:53Will Dan S. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?SELL0.999$688.11