DonaldinhoTrumpito
0x7523cafcee7bcf2db9a79d80e0d79b88a9a54c4c
- Realised P&L
- $-329.4k
- Volume
- $56.27M
- Markets traded
- 1,926
- Open portfolio
- $197.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,926
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$184.1kat 0.706Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$161.4kat 0.273Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$125.4kat 0.417Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$92.5kat 0.013Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$72.0kat 0.424US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 12:56 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9792529548 | $21.1k |
| 10-11 12:56 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.977 | $1.4k |
| 09-13 17:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $149.8k |
| 09-07 19:52 | US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx | BUY | 0.67 | $14.6k |
| 09-07 19:25 | US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx | BUY | 0.72 | $2.7k |
| 09-07 19:22 | US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx | SELL | 0.27 | $1.6k |
| 09-07 06:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | BUY | 0.996 | $106.1k |
| 09-06 20:32 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.995 | $12.6k |
| 09-06 16:58 | Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.7799116869 | $2.4k |
| 09-06 01:47 | US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Botic van de Zandschulp | SELL | 0.89 | $26.7k |
| 08-31 20:29 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.34 | $42.50 |
| 08-31 19:05 | US Open ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | BUY | 0.93 | $15.1k |
| 08-31 19:04 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $84.0k |
| 08-31 18:54 | US Open ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | BUY | 0.93 | $2.64 |
| 08-31 18:53 | Will Dan S. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? | SELL | 0.999 | $688.11 |