Melody626
0xecaa8806a9a05049d7d5260a33dc924220e377a9
- Realised P&L
- $-89.6k
- Volume
- $35.89M
- Markets traded
- 1,519
- Open portfolio
- $716.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,519
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.6kat 0.456GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?
- +$126.0kat 0.517Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
- +$95.1kat 0.697TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
- +$60.3kat 0.588Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$45.7kat 0.733Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.5592309827 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 20:42 | Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.4 | $521.84 |
| 11-01 08:37 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 08:17 | Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.6365854433 | $2.8k |
| 11-01 08:16 | Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.5791959158 | $5.8k |
| 11-01 08:08 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.4597476394 | $5.2k |
| 11-01 08:08 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.45 | $352.35 |
| 11-01 08:00 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.5789061492 | $2.6k |
| 11-01 07:59 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.66 | $549.77 |
| 11-01 07:52 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.62 | $553.06 |
| 11-01 07:52 | Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.6196082446 | $1.7k |
| 11-01 07:48 | Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.63 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 07:48 | Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.6299675546 | $3.9k |
| 11-01 07:47 | Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 07:46 | Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.9k |