PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Melody626

0xecaa8806a9a05049d7d5260a33dc924220e377a9

Realised P&L
$-89.6k
Volume
$35.89M
Markets traded
1,519
Open portfolio
$716.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,519
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.8101.000$138.5k+$26.3k
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Yes0.4841.000$110.0k+$56.7k
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Yes0.7711.000$64.7k+$14.8k
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7350.735$36.7k+$0.30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.7200.705$35.3k−$750.75
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party? · No0.6861.000$32.5k+$10.2k
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7080.705$31.7k−$124.97
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7840.745$28.6k−$1.5k
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7400.715$27.0k−$945.23
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary? · Yes0.6851.000$26.5k+$8.3k
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8100.805$21.2k−$145.81
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5190.525$18.2k+$219.49
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6410.635$17.6k−$164.65
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.6330.605$13.2k−$607.64
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · No0.7800.785$9.9k+$64.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:20Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?BUY0.5592309827$1.0k
11-01 20:42Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?BUY0.4$521.84
11-01 08:37Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.78$2.0k
11-01 08:17Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?BUY0.6365854433$2.8k
11-01 08:16Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat?BUY0.5791959158$5.8k
11-01 08:08Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?BUY0.4597476394$5.2k
11-01 08:08Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?BUY0.45$352.35
11-01 08:00Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?BUY0.5789061492$2.6k
11-01 07:59Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?BUY0.66$549.77
11-01 07:52Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?BUY0.62$553.06
11-01 07:52Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?BUY0.6196082446$1.7k
11-01 07:48Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?BUY0.63$2.0k
11-01 07:48Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?BUY0.6299675546$3.9k
11-01 07:47Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?BUY0.48$1.2k
11-01 07:46Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?BUY0.48$1.9k