Zacceerie
0xcadd7d3143861cdea00fbdb7c15c56ff0697595c
- Realised P&L
- $-24.5k
- Volume
- $546.6k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $32.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.689 | 0.805 | $17.2k | +$2.5k |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.681 | 0.805 | $15.2k | +$2.3k |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.002 | $33.50 | −$98.50 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.342 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.49 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.06at 0.651Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?
- +$69.32at 0.946Will Biden pardon Hillary?
- +$54.80at 0.953Iran strike on Israel before December?
- +$53.80at 0.446Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?
- +$50.93at 0.951Will "Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80-89?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 17:54 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $49.64 |
| 10-29 04:01 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $400.32 |
| 10-27 16:05 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $2.5k |
| 10-27 01:51 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $416.07 |
| 10-27 01:50 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $310.50 |
| 10-26 22:20 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $469.20 |
| 10-25 16:39 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $500.40 |
| 10-24 18:58 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $852.00 |
| 10-22 16:11 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $497.00 |
| 10-21 16:12 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $1.0k |
| 10-20 14:37 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $988.15 |
| 10-19 14:58 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $988.13 |
| 10-18 16:04 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $986.66 |
| 10-18 03:41 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $386.47 |
| 10-17 22:45 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.5k |