PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

peasant

0x1c72797cd4b9b83f42e287144e334c4de347dfb6

Realised P&L
$93.8k
Volume
$11.57M
Markets traded
319
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded319
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0160.007$2.0k$2.3k
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0150.017$1.6k+$148.08
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1460.101$201.00$91.00
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? · No0.7770.000$0.00$6.4k
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31? · No0.4850.000$0.00$169.5k
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · No0.7000.000$0.00$1.4k
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? · No0.3800.000$0.00$32.32
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17? · No0.5650.000$0.00$76.4k
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes0.6580.000$0.00$28.4k
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? · No0.6100.000$0.00$305.00
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? · No0.5470.000$0.00$82.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 00:26US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.8398542476$4.4k
06-15 00:05US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.8418203554$22.4k
06-15 00:04US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.836$2.8k
06-14 23:58US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.839$10.5k
06-14 23:56US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.8168022728$40.8k
06-14 14:01Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?BUY0.691$109.17
06-14 13:54Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?BUY0.521$65.17
05-24 02:22Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?SELL0.985$1.1k
05-23 19:09US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.34$850.00
05-14 13:32Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.65$2.6k
05-14 00:30Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?SELL0.9860168697$4.2k
04-14 12:40Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.2527951591$3.7k
04-10 14:31Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.3495736632$5.1k
04-10 14:29Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.12$23.57
04-10 14:27Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?SELL0.3717061454$927.73