0x3E73134C7db1C631607e4A330da916e690eeA49C-1772444757037
0x3e73134c7db1c631607e4a330da916e690eea49c
- Realised P&L
- $15.9k
- Volume
- $134.8k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $33.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.711 | 0.805 | $24.5k | +$2.9k |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.945 | $8.8k | −$46.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.5kat 0.598Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$967.33at 0.880Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$397.60at 0.205UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$132.61at 0.719Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:11 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7503905771 | $4.2k |
| 10-31 18:31 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.8k |
| 10-22 20:12 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $60.48 |
| 10-22 20:12 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $154.79 |
| 10-22 20:12 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $162.00 |
| 10-22 20:11 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.0k |
| 10-22 20:11 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.3k |
| 10-22 19:46 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.716326526 | $39.00 |
| 10-22 19:45 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.716471733 | $737.11 |
| 10-22 19:45 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $19.2k |
| 06-26 12:39 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $362.38 |
| 06-26 12:39 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $33.5k |
| 06-26 12:39 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $540.20 |
| 05-10 03:14 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 03-11 14:29 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.8799999999 | $7.1k |