0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2
0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2d
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $3.75M
- Markets traded
- 698
- Open portfolio
- $244.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded698
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.1kat 0.999US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$10.0kat 0.846Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$6.1kat 0.769Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$5.1kat 0.796Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$4.9kat 0.020US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.1k |
| 11-01 20:37 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $59.07 |
| 11-01 20:37 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $75.72 |
| 11-01 20:37 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.8k |
| 11-01 20:37 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $8.2k |
| 11-01 03:55 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.3k |
| 11-01 03:49 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.4k |
| 11-01 03:49 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $6.1k |
| 10-31 21:47 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9899998437 | $5.13 |
| 10-31 21:46 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9892827198 | $6.3k |
| 10-31 20:44 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $7.4k |
| 10-31 20:31 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $270.95 |
| 10-31 19:48 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.6k |
| 10-31 19:42 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.1k |
| 10-31 19:42 | Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $147.36 |