PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.05 to 0.10. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.09320320
0.10500820
0.1156876
0.1470946
0.156051,551
0.169292,480
0.172,2584,738
0.181,3166,055
0.194,67310,728
0.2212510,853
0.2320511,058
0.3240011,458

Spread0.03Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.06797797
0.059201,717
0.043,0524,769
0.034675,235
0.021,0776,312
0.011,6007,912

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.94797797
0.959201,717
0.963,0524,769
0.974675,235
0.981,0776,312
0.991,6007,912

Spread0.03Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.91320320
0.90500820
0.8956876
0.8670946
0.856051,551
0.849292,480
0.832,2584,738
0.821,3166,055
0.814,67310,728
0.7812510,853
0.7720511,058
0.6840011,458

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xcBdfF20C9ec923cb9fe2572B179C1033304E6a49-1761715849429Yes3,834.23
wing1234Yes900
andy29Yes750
autisemYes636
JohnP92Yes599.99
xtxpleasecallmeYes274.85
123987456Yes200
CompulsiveGamblerYes200
peepeepooppoopYes150.26
Dr.PNLYes112.96
GayPrideYes72.37
ElechYes71.88
awgraewrfaYes70.22
MispricedPaladinYes58.74
human.beanYes58.43
GoodNightIHopeYes50
orkosamYes45.45
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338Yes35
qqqmmmcccYes29.83
jq123Yes23.63

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:09:51BUYYes0.0984126984630$62.00
01:01:48BUYYes0.066$0.36
07:05:49BUYNo0.944425$4.72
07:05:49BUYNo0.946$5.17
20:24:16BUYNo0.9399998122$1.60
13:13:39BUYNo0.93400$372.00
10:50:32BUYYes0.137$3.70
03:58:38BUYYes0.0977777778450$44.00
00:34:57BUYYes0.08999999991,111$100.00
13:00:51SELLYes0.0628571429350$22.00
04:49:33BUYYes0.0909090909110$10.00
23:23:35BUYYes0.0986031224122$12.00
23:17:09SELLNo0.93100$93.00
23:17:05SELLNo0.93100$93.00
19:10:08BUYYes0.08250$20.00
14:03:44BUYNo0.93232$215.54
13:41:09BUYNo0.9310$9.34
13:40:35BUYNo0.935$4.27
13:40:33BUYNo0.939$8.00
13:39:59BUYNo0.9310$9.30
13:04:05BUYNo0.9310$9.30
13:04:05BUYNo0.9330$27.90
02:30:03BUYYes0.0847$3.79
02:20:05BUYYes0.0810$0.80
00:30:48BUYYes0.09200$18.00