andy29
0xa75cb55885d667de343b241d26268ef45981895e
- Realised P&L
- $59.8k
- Volume
- $5.96M
- Markets traded
- 2,971
- Open portfolio
- $23.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,971
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.7kat 0.042Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$6.8kat 0.016Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
- +$6.7kat 0.447NBA Playoffs: Cavaliers vs. Pacers (To Advance)
- +$4.8kat 0.640Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?
- +$4.4kat 0.710Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:35 | KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions | BUY | 0.51 | $283.05 |
| 09-16 16:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 09-16 14:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $220.00 |
| 09-15 12:43 | Will the Washington Nationals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.032173913 | $7.40 |
| 09-14 18:55 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0297721669 | $160.29 |
| 09-14 18:51 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? | BUY | 0.4563979527 | $28.53 |
| 09-14 12:38 | Will the Washington Nationals hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.0702198124 | $19.17 |
| 09-13 13:33 | Will Christian McCaffrey finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns? | SELL | 0.075 | $7.50 |
| 09-13 13:33 | Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns? | BUY | 0.17 | $49.13 |
| 09-13 12:19 | Will the Cincinnati Reds have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.953 | $28.59 |
| 09-13 12:19 | Will the Detroit Tigers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.992261776 | $291.75 |
| 09-10 13:01 | Will Freddie Freeman lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.9548538404 | $128.05 |
| 09-10 12:58 | Will the Cincinnati Reds have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.872648102 | $245.06 |
| 09-09 12:18 | 3Q Spread: Seahawks (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $281.50 |
| 09-08 12:33 | Will the Cincinnati Reds have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.6941870655 | $75.89 |