autisem
0xea41d1253bf603d7947da4659e85080dc2071c98
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $2.58M
- Markets traded
- 1,314
- Open portfolio
- $13.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,314
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.209US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.154Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
- +$2.3kat 0.079US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$2.1kat 0.482Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.100US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:49 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $192.85 |
| 11-01 17:11 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 17:07 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.708582833 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 17:07 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.7070185013 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 03:58 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6629999982 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 03:27 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2899999999 | $110.00 |
| 11-01 01:09 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? | BUY | 0.0984126984 | $62.00 |
| 11-01 01:09 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%? | BUY | 0.17 | $153.00 |
| 11-01 01:01 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.36 |
| 10-31 23:34 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 10-29 17:40 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 21% or more? | BUY | 0.0170302597 | $1.31 |
| 10-29 17:40 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 18%-21%? | BUY | 0.0345184549 | $8.04 |
| 10-29 17:39 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 15%-18%? | BUY | 0.0668355263 | $10.16 |
| 10-29 15:38 | Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | SELL | 0.6 | $113.38 |
| 10-29 12:05 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999968 | $200.00 |