PolyBot

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Traders

MispricedPaladin

0xde88d50d54236eeecfbe6e3b40d7c32544a9144c

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$152.0k
Markets traded
286
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded286
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 01:14Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.76$106.40
11-01 19:28Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.005$5.00
11-01 14:04Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.1089999998$18.00
11-01 14:03Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?SELL0.19$19.00
11-01 13:59Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.011$20.00
10-29 22:22Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.48$4.80
10-29 20:34Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?BUY0.5782652043$200.00
10-29 20:33Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?SELL0.8739365584$907.80
10-29 20:32Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?BUY0.5783228628$200.00
10-29 12:16Will Republicans win the Kansas Governor election and Democrats win the Kansas Senate election?BUY0.2475267272$100.00
10-29 12:12Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?BUY0.237388724$200.00
10-29 12:11Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?SELL0.5155454146$223.12
10-28 17:32Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?SELL0.018$6.57
10-28 17:26Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.8099999993$174.00
10-28 17:25Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.8$80.00