PolyBot

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Traders

MispricedPaladin

0xde88d50d54236eeecfbe6e3b40d7c32544a9144c

Realised P&L
$-107.25
Volume
$132.2k
Markets traded
259
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded259
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9100.910$945.26+$0.00
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5860.605$477.10+$14.81
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6560.675$437.23+$12.24
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5800.565$402.13$10.53
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30? · No0.4110.967$353.74+$203.32
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.5030.585$292.50+$41.05
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · Yes0.3870.397$289.21+$7.04
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · No0.8170.925$282.90+$32.90
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5240.545$245.25+$9.25
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5100.575$172.50+$19.50
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7600.835$167.00+$15.00
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6060.655$163.74+$12.25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7900.765$153.00$5.00
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No0.5200.545$135.91+$6.23
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3280.295$132.75$14.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:33Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.67$232.99
09-16 15:55Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?BUY0.36$7.20
09-14 18:04Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.33$99.00
09-13 17:45Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.52$20.48
09-11 19:57Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.52$62.40
09-10 20:11Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.52$67.60
09-10 20:07Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.52$109.20
09-10 18:15Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5$100.00
09-10 18:14Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.43$378.40
09-09 17:38Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?BUY0.32$90.76
09-08 14:41Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?BUY0.439$13.17
09-08 14:40Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?SELL0.4735481326$54.01
09-05 15:07Will Federação Brasil da Esperança (FE Brasil) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?BUY0.005$4.10
09-04 21:09Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?BUY0.67$125.93
09-04 20:09Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.58$404.14