0xcBdfF20C9ec923cb9fe2572B179C1033304E6a49-1761715849429
0xcbdff20c9ec923cb9fe2572b179c1033304e6a49
- Realised P&L
- $-404.55
- Volume
- $1.51M
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $8.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.171Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$539.67at 0.617Kash Patel out by June 30?
- +$321.52at 0.009Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$269.91at 0.082Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$158.17at 0.863Kash Patel out by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:32 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? | BUY | 0.0239735402 | $48.02 |
| 09-16 04:32 | Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.1781507676 | $65.00 |
| 09-16 04:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.541 | $118.61 |
| 09-14 16:54 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.13 | $63.57 |
| 09-14 16:53 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.11 | $75.00 |
| 09-14 16:53 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0656498819 | $45.00 |
| 09-14 16:51 | Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0995024876 | $300.00 |
| 09-14 16:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.5089710266 | $506.45 |
| 09-13 17:33 | Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.1785583348 | $23.00 |
| 09-13 17:32 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 09-04 03:57 | Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0069999999 | $59.60 |
| 09-04 03:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $300.00 |
| 09-04 03:55 | Will North Carolina have the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0189719629 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 03:54 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0375623699 | $101.42 |
| 09-04 03:54 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0750053566 | $285.65 |