PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcBdfF20C9ec923cb9fe2572B179C1033304E6a49-1761715849429

0xcbdff20c9ec923cb9fe2572b179c1033304e6a49

Realised P&L
$-404.55
Volume
$1.51M
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$8.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2910.549$1.2k+$570.99
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0280.025$863.62$92.58
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · No0.1970.235$703.46+$113.47
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0320.033$699.31+$1.05
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0660.070$670.20+$37.13
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3740.295$594.44$158.91
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1710.105$589.15$368.67
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.018$546.63+$108.26
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.004$463.89$1.0k
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5000.415$394.25$80.75
Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · Yes0.1820.280$379.39+$133.23
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1000.085$256.27$43.72
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.005$253.11$181.50
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? · Yes0.0640.064$249.99$0.01
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0330.042$237.99+$46.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 04:32Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?BUY0.0239735402$48.02
09-16 04:32Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.1781507676$65.00
09-16 04:31Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.541$118.61
09-14 16:54Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.13$63.57
09-14 16:53Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.11$75.00
09-14 16:53Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.0656498819$45.00
09-14 16:51Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0995024876$300.00
09-14 16:50Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.5089710266$506.45
09-13 17:33Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.1785583348$23.00
09-13 17:32Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.52$26.00
09-04 03:57Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0069999999$59.60
09-04 03:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6$300.00
09-04 03:55Will North Carolina have the closest Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0189719629$2.00
09-04 03:54Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.0375623699$101.42
09-04 03:54Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.0750053566$285.65