0xcBdfF20C9ec923cb9fe2572B179C1033304E6a49-1761715849429
0xcbdff20c9ec923cb9fe2572b179c1033304e6a49
- Realised P&L
- $-313.24
- Volume
- $1.77M
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.171Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.300Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$539.67at 0.617Kash Patel out by June 30?
- +$321.52at 0.009Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$269.91at 0.082Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 20:15 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? | BUY | 0.0532067198 | $83.00 |
| 10-28 20:14 | Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.19 | $82.92 |
| 10-28 03:58 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? | BUY | 0.0977777778 | $44.00 |
| 10-28 03:58 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $44.13 |
| 10-27 00:34 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 00:34 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $99.99 |
| 10-26 04:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? | BUY | 0.0909090909 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 23:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? | BUY | 0.0986031224 | $12.00 |
| 10-25 23:23 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0118157734 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 23:22 | Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | SELL | 0.3822071267 | $32.07 |
| 10-24 04:17 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0027722313 | $285.78 |
| 10-24 04:17 | Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0068956988 | $215.79 |
| 10-24 04:14 | Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | SELL | 0.2432817753 | $398.72 |
| 10-22 19:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.2399999983 | $23.00 |
| 10-22 19:10 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? | BUY | 0.0334830089 | $25.00 |