PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party win the CA-41 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.973. up 0.013 over the period, from 0.960. Range 0.956 to 0.981. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9776363
0.9812083
0.98320103
0.984165269
0.98530299
0.988629928
0.9891681,096
0.9958191,915
0.9965002,415
0.9978333,248
0.9981,8415,089
0.9993,7338,822

Spread0.010Mid0.972

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9671717
0.9642037
0.96368105
0.95993198
0.949311509
0.94815524
0.931189713
0.93018731
0.9263001,031
0.8665001,531
0.85051,536
0.7666602,196

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0331717
0.0362037
0.03768105
0.04193198
0.051311509
0.05215524
0.069189713
0.07018731
0.0743001,031
0.1345001,531
0.15051,536
0.2346602,196

Spread0.010Mid0.028

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0236363
0.0192083
0.01720103
0.016165269
0.01530299
0.012629928
0.0111681,096
0.0058191,915
0.0045002,415
0.0038333,248
0.0021,8415,089
0.0013,7338,822

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
VanillaOvercoatInspiringYes1,018
SeutervoinenYes287.37
oneofthepplYes150.13
SitsToPeeYes99.61
title1Yes60
cosmicsteaksYes45
wqeewqeadawfawfwaYes40
FrankyFourFingersYes26.02
0xa7fc…92eeYes1.08
0xe3f6…32a4Yes1.08
0xff09…25abYes1.08
xtxpleasecallmeNo569.35
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938No535.12
Dr.PNLNo305.42
0xa5ef…2966No133.12
73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.No68.14
frontiertradeNo30
16r0obNo29.12
Rain-Prob-01No22.22
dognamedreggiNo16.88

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:43:13BUYYes0.9812208344815$799.69
20:03:52BUYYes0.9711089655203$197.14
11:29:03BUYNo0.04744$2.07
01:55:45BUYNo0.0523130$1.57
03:32:56SELLYes0.9485$4.74
18:30:28BUYYes0.9675$4.83
18:27:46BUYYes0.9665$4.83
11:03:52SELLYes0.9511$0.60
10:55:45SELLYes0.9481$0.60
18:44:12BUYYes0.9655$4.83
11:11:49SELLNo0.04511$0.48
11:11:38SELLNo0.04520$0.90
11:11:35SELLNo0.0451$0.03
11:11:32BUYYes0.95551526921$19.71
11:11:29BUYYes0.94660$56.76
11:11:29BUYYes0.946999999921$19.54
11:11:29BUYYes0.946999999921$19.54
10:50:41BUYNo0.05820$1.16
10:50:41SELLYes0.94280$75.36
04:10:11SELLYes0.95620$19.12
04:10:07BUYNo0.04123$4.93
17:46:31BUYYes0.9695$4.84
20:37:30BUYYes0.9685$4.84
21:24:35BUYYes0.9685$4.84
07:49:27BUYNo0.04437$1.61