PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa7fc01a848cf6976a5ab23d68ce0673069b992ee

Realised P&L
$203.09
Volume
$32.5k
Markets traded
163
Open portfolio
$73.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded163
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6900.835$10.89+$1.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4870.945$7.76+$3.76
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat? · Yes0.8210.915$6.70+$0.69
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7220.955$5.29+$1.29
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · Yes0.9300.967$4.16+$0.16
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9150.971$3.18+$0.18
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6150.715$2.33+$0.33
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat? · Yes0.9250.979$2.12+$0.12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2690.165$2.06$1.31
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat? · No0.9250.925$2.00$0.00
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? · No0.7050.675$1.91$0.09
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0270.051$1.87+$0.87
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? · Yes0.8400.745$1.77$0.23
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-03 House seat? · No0.9300.996$1.07+$0.07
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat? · No0.9300.994$1.07+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 00:38LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.5299999315$1.78
08-19 00:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.0699999713$2.15
08-12 00:19Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-02 02:10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.78$1.00
08-01 18:54Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.268999812$1.00
08-01 16:40Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-01 16:31Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-01 15:39Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-31 19:31U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.9909999589$15.20
07-31 19:19U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.4199999517$2.78
07-31 17:58U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.6779997358$1.75
07-30 21:31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.25$2.37
07-30 21:10Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7149999952$11.22
07-30 20:41U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.7969999299$1.00
07-30 14:35U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.8379999586$2.79