0xa7fc01a848cf6976a5ab23d68ce0673069b992ee
- Realised P&L
- $203.09
- Volume
- $32.5k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $73.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.03at 0.121US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$41.55at 0.208Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$31.98at 0.173US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$26.31at 0.128US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$21.58at 0.188Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 00:38 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5299999315 | $1.78 |
| 08-19 00:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999713 | $2.15 |
| 08-12 00:19 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 02:10 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 18:54 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.268999812 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:40 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:31 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 15:39 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 19:31 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.9909999589 | $15.20 |
| 07-31 19:19 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.4199999517 | $2.78 |
| 07-31 17:58 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.6779997358 | $1.75 |
| 07-30 21:31 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.37 |
| 07-30 21:10 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7149999952 | $11.22 |
| 07-30 20:41 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.7969999299 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 14:35 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.8379999586 | $2.79 |