PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa7fc01a848cf6976a5ab23d68ce0673069b992ee

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
163
Open portfolio
$72.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded163
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6900.835$10.89+$1.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4870.959$7.87+$3.87
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat? · Yes0.8210.925$6.78+$0.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7220.980$5.42+$1.42
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · Yes0.9300.980$4.21+$0.21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9150.981$3.21+$0.21
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6150.745$2.42+$0.42
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat? · Yes0.9250.980$2.12+$0.12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2690.165$2.06−$1.31
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat? · No0.9250.925$2.00−$0.00
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? · Yes0.8400.695$1.65−$0.35
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? · No0.7050.545$1.55−$0.45
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-03 House seat? · No0.9301.000$1.07+$0.07
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat? · Yes0.9100.968$1.06+$0.06
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-03 House seat? · No0.9300.989$1.06+$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 00:38LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.5299999315$1.78
08-19 00:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.0699999713$2.15
08-12 00:19Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-02 02:10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.78$1.00
08-01 18:54Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.268999812$1.00
08-01 16:40Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-01 16:31Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-01 15:39Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-31 19:31U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.9909999589$15.20
07-31 19:19U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.4199999517$2.78
07-31 17:58U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.6779997358$1.75
07-30 21:31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.25$2.37
07-30 21:10Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7149999952$11.22
07-30 20:41U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.7969999299$1.00
07-30 14:35U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.8379999586$2.79