PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xff0931866aa744cc4f4e71d89055244adfff25ab

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$46.3k
Markets traded
802
Open portfolio
$931.80

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded802
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9330.945$79.02+$1.02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.9200.994$65.89+$4.89
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3860.512$57.97+$14.32
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9650.996$46.43+$1.44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7010.835$44.05+$7.04
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9480.976$40.13+$1.13
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.9680.995$32.87+$0.87
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9420.945$31.08+$0.08
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3310.090$30.20$80.79
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.8670.945$28.34+$2.34
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9330.968$21.77+$0.77
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? · No0.9240.945$17.39+$0.39
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.9310.983$16.89+$0.89
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.9370.966$15.47+$0.47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.4880.935$13.82+$6.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 00:42Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.9779998924$1.00
09-16 00:11Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.996$1.00
09-15 00:02Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.994$1.00
09-14 00:31Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.939999812$1.00
09-14 00:09Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? BUY0.9099992538$1.00
09-13 00:24Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9939992267$1.00
09-12 00:54Noche UFC: Drakkar Klose vs. Tommy Gantt (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-12 00:47Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-12 00:37Noche UFC: Drakkar Klose vs. Tommy Gantt (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-12 00:28Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.6099997255$1.00
09-12 00:27Noche UFC: Drakkar Klose vs. Tommy Gantt (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-12 00:07Trump out as President by September 30?BUY0.991$1.00
09-11 00:59Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9929993546$1.00
09-11 00:26Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BUY0.5$1.00
09-08 00:38Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.8599997764$1.00