PolyBot

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Traders

oneoftheppl

0x4d1de0d8bf27bbb1f34545e974cfb794ac8e01ac

Realised P&L
$13.0k
Volume
$1.19M
Markets traded
7,804
Open portfolio
$32.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded7,804
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:22Will CA Unión win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.94$16.92
11-01 23:16Will the Democratic Party win the CA-50 House seat?BUY0.97$10.67
11-01 22:58Will the Democratic Party win the PA-13 House seat?BUY0.987$19.74
11-01 22:35Will the Democratic Party win the CA-51 House seat?BUY0.98$16.66
11-01 22:28Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?BUY0.91$24.57
11-01 22:28Will the Democratic Party win the OR-01 House seat?BUY0.988$4.94
11-01 22:08Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?BUY0.979$27.41
11-01 21:48Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat?BUY0.9855654424$45.36
11-01 21:33Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?BUY0.8$8.00
11-01 21:33Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?BUY0.6$60.00
11-01 21:30Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?BUY0.8$80.00
11-01 21:28Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?BUY0.91$26.39
11-01 21:28Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?BUY0.8$6.40
11-01 21:20Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?BUY0.98$20.58
11-01 21:06Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?BUY0.925$19.43