0xe3f62167f3c95ed486ddc4dc76cfdf5f796932a4
- Realised P&L
- $128.07
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $96.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.53at 0.077US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$27.42at 0.172US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$24.00at 0.250UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$18.36at 0.179Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
- +$17.11at 0.391MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:10 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7899995339 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 02:10 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 21:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 20:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 20:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 20:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 20:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 20:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:40 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:31 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 13:54 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3459998228 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 20:26 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 20:11 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 18:44 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.9869999891 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 20:48 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |