PolyBot

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Traders

0xe3f62167f3c95ed486ddc4dc76cfdf5f796932a4

0xe3f62167f3c95ed486ddc4dc76cfdf5f796932a4

Realised P&L
$124.32
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
171
Open portfolio
$79.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded171
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat? · Yes0.8230.935$6.83+$0.82
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? · Yes0.9000.820$5.47−$0.53
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · Yes0.9300.989$4.25+$0.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2800.875$3.12+$2.12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7500.955$2.55+$0.55
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat? · Yes0.9250.986$2.13+$0.13
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat? · No0.9400.981$2.09+$0.09
Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat? · Yes0.9300.971$2.09+$0.09
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat? · No0.9340.935$2.00+$0.00
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? · Yes0.8400.655$1.56−$0.44
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? · No0.7050.545$1.55−$0.45
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8260.981$1.19+$0.19
Will the Democratic Party win the MS-03 House seat? · No0.9301.000$1.07+$0.07
Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat? · Yes0.9100.977$1.07+$0.07
Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat? · Yes0.9300.995$1.07+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:57Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.82$15.21
09-10 00:38LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
08-03 19:41US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
08-02 02:10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7899995339$1.00
08-02 02:10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.78$1.00
08-01 21:25US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.91$1.00
08-01 20:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.92$1.00
08-01 20:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.91$1.00
08-01 20:46Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.7$1.00
08-01 20:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.91$1.00
08-01 20:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.9$1.00
08-01 16:40Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-01 16:31Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-01 13:54Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3459998228$1.00
07-02 20:26Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY0.99$1.00