PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.74. up 0.13 over the period, from 0.61. Range 0.43 to 0.84. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.756161
0.76421482
0.779551,437
0.83291,467
0.97121,478
0.981241,602
0.99171,619

Spread0.02Mid0.74

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.733535
0.72249284
0.7154338
0.7020358
0.119367
0.1040407
0.095412
0.049421
0.0324445
0.0116461

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.273535
0.28249284
0.2954338
0.3020358
0.899367
0.9040407
0.915412
0.969421
0.9724445
0.9916461

Spread0.02Mid0.26

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.256161
0.24421482
0.239551,437
0.17291,467
0.03121,478
0.021241,602
0.01171,619

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
SuperTestsYes310
0x9dE6461495bD48520077608AC9eF012A6EaBE7f0-1782112143003Yes40
LornaPredictsYes37.43
Kiera23beautyYes21
functionalityrefinedYes16.81
spacexstarYes5
Dr.PNLYes1.96
0xbada…d874Yes1.01
grothNo89.56
pootytherewardfarmerNo87
tradetosurvive1No60.48
AJSVNo46.73
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.No40
rocky42016No39
sjsjskaioNo25
0x4629…f3b1No15.12
VenomTradeNo7.88
cd30gfu530p0No6.31
HaradwaithNo5.09
Elias.ThornwellNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:28:45SELLYes0.7420$14.80
21:28:40SELLYes0.745667327935$26.31
21:28:33SELLYes0.75126$94.72
13:25:39SELLNo0.2430$7.20
09:00:39SELLNo0.2450$12.00
07:55:43SELLNo0.240$0.04
07:02:01SELLNo0.2562240$10.25
07:02:00BUYYes0.748$6.01
07:01:58BUYYes0.73180$131.40
07:01:58BUYYes0.736675004220$14.80
07:01:58BUYYes0.739999988920$14.73
07:01:58BUYYes0.7321$15.33
00:22:27SELLYes0.7530$22.47
21:51:15BUYNo0.245$1.20
14:42:13SELLYes0.770$0.10
12:50:39BUYNo0.22999999720$4.59
12:50:39SELLYes0.7750$38.50
08:46:16BUYNo0.22999999422$5.00
08:46:15SELLYes0.7725$19.21
06:51:00BUYNo0.22999999720$4.59
06:51:00SELLYes0.7745$34.65
06:14:24SELLYes0.7720$15.40
03:51:57SELLYes0.7720$15.40
00:47:24SELLYes0.762$1.48
00:47:19BUYNo0.22999999720$4.59