PolyBot

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Traders

rocky42016

0x8d88d51a302d3bfb8fc2f71abdfd5f676cbd1e28

Realised P&L
$-7.1k
Volume
$11.33M
Markets traded
7,857
Open portfolio
$6.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,857
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9950.999$513.23+$1.80
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election? · No0.2470.295$302.39+$48.76
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9960.995$287.36−$0.43
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? · No0.4400.545$261.29+$50.36
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? · No0.5880.635$255.26+$18.84
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? · No0.5560.480$254.99−$40.49
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.5700.575$251.59+$2.21
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? · No0.2980.264$243.53−$32.01
Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat? · No0.9300.996$241.91+$15.92
Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? · No0.4720.550$232.32+$32.97
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? · No0.9300.930$214.29+$0.09
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? · Yes0.9200.925$197.23+$1.07
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? · Yes0.6300.775$178.34+$33.28
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · No0.9730.989$171.65+$2.78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? · Yes0.5900.590$157.42+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 01:23Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?SELL0.946$53.92
10-31 21:03Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?SELL0.49$2.45
10-31 19:11Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?SELL0.48$2.88
10-31 19:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?SELL0.5$10.00
10-30 20:43Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?SELL0.925$80.48
10-30 16:40Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026?SELL0.84$60.48
10-30 14:46Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.288$12.10
10-27 12:54Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?SELL0.494$73.61
10-27 08:08Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?SELL0.66$3.30
10-23 16:59NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.42$20.16
10-23 13:54Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)SELL0.43$33.97
10-22 07:09Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.66252$19.21
10-20 06:19Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20?SELL0.54$8.10
10-20 06:19Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20?SELL0.54$10.80
10-19 19:02Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-19?SELL0.3$40.50