rocky42016
0x8d88d51a302d3bfb8fc2f71abdfd5f676cbd1e28
- Realised P&L
- $-7.1k
- Volume
- $11.33M
- Markets traded
- 7,857
- Open portfolio
- $6.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,857
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.366Athletics vs. Rays
- +$1.5kat 0.154Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
- +$1.3kat 0.188Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?
- +$1.2kat 0.219Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.262Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 01:23 | Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.946 | $53.92 |
| 10-31 21:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-31 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.88 |
| 10-31 19:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 20:43 | Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.925 | $80.48 |
| 10-30 16:40 | Gemini Carbon released by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $60.48 |
| 10-30 14:46 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | SELL | 0.288 | $12.10 |
| 10-27 12:54 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | SELL | 0.494 | $73.61 |
| 10-27 08:08 | Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 10-23 16:59 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $20.16 |
| 10-23 13:54 | Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) | SELL | 0.43 | $33.97 |
| 10-22 07:09 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | SELL | 0.66252 | $19.21 |
| 10-20 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.54 | $8.10 |
| 10-20 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 10-19 19:02 | Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-19? | SELL | 0.3 | $40.50 |