rocky42016
0x8d88d51a302d3bfb8fc2f71abdfd5f676cbd1e28
- Realised P&L
- $-7.9k
- Volume
- $11.23M
- Markets traded
- 7,480
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,480
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.366Athletics vs. Rays
- +$1.5kat 0.154Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
- +$1.3kat 0.188Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?
- +$1.2kat 0.219Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.262Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 09-14 23:30 | Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka | SELL | 0.47 | $7.05 |
| 09-11 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.51 | $3.06 |
| 09-11 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 09-11 07:35 | Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs OldMix (BO3) - United21 Group B | SELL | 0.61 | $14.03 |
| 09-11 01:49 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | SELL | 0.33 | $49.17 |
| 09-11 01:49 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | SELL | 0.33 | $49.17 |
| 09-10 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on September 10? | SELL | 0.701 | $33.65 |
| 09-09 21:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | SELL | 0.4 | $34.00 |
| 09-09 00:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-08 10:17 | UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | SELL | 0.953 | $162.96 |
| 09-08 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 09-07 01:50 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 7? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 09-06 21:14 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.49 | $3.43 |
| 09-06 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 6? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.30 |