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Traders

functionalityrefined

0xe2cabac0e438aa4bff3b45c346887b26c5fad71d

Realised P&L
$-14.97
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$16.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? · Yes0.7400.740$15.54+$0.00
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? · No0.2600.260$1.09+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:33Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.19$4.08
09-13 04:58Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.35$7.36
08-31 11:14Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?SELL0.11$2.77
08-26 15:52Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?SELL0.38$7.98
08-25 22:31Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?SELL0.58$12.18
08-24 20:02Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.53$11.13
08-24 04:59Will Helio Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?SELL0.67$14.06
08-23 12:31Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?SELL0.35$1.08
08-22 23:16Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?BUY0.68$14.28
08-22 19:28Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?SELL0.7$14.70
08-20 01:49Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.22$2.04
08-18 11:23Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?SELL0.13$3.28
08-17 03:20Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?SELL0.32$7.86
08-14 18:59Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?SELL0.19$3.70
07-29 13:17Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.263$10.25
Trader functionalityrefined · PolyBot Pro