Kiera23beauty
0x36f082000bf067b360e943779e3ae9763ad4f2d4
- Realised P&L
- $-41.62
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $15.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.740 | $15.54 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.02at 0.500Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$8.64at 0.550Rangers vs. Golden Knights
- +$4.34at 0.580Flames vs. Blues
- +$2.99at 0.430Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?
- +$2.58at 0.240Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 08:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.57 | $10.38 |
| 08-31 12:48 | Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.11 |
| 08-28 18:56 | Will Rob Burton win the 2026 Oakville mayoral election? | SELL | 0.44 | $9.24 |
| 08-27 15:08 | Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.67 |
| 08-26 15:49 | Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | SELL | 0.57 | $11.96 |
| 08-25 11:28 | Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.59 | $12.39 |
| 08-24 08:25 | Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.77 |
| 08-22 14:26 | Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.96 |
| 08-21 20:58 | Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City? | SELL | 0.39 | $8.19 |
| 08-21 00:47 | Will the USS Abraham Lincoln depart CENTCOM by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.36 |
| 08-19 03:31 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.76 |
| 08-17 05:34 | Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.26 |
| 08-17 03:01 | Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.09 |
| 08-15 15:12 | Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31? | SELL | 0.281 | $5.90 |
| 08-10 03:59 | Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.88 |