PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.36 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.14 to 0.50. 13 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.141,1431,143
0.152341,377
0.16401,417
0.17201,437
0.21611,498
0.22201,518
0.231441,662
0.27201,682
0.283872,069
0.299002,969
0.4062,975
0.97132,988

Spread0.01Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.131,8621,862
0.12201,882
0.111412,023
0.07712,095
0.06832,178
0.051002,278
0.042582,536
0.031672,702
0.022502,952
0.01232,976

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.871,8621,862
0.88201,882
0.891412,023
0.93712,095
0.94832,178
0.951002,278
0.962582,536
0.971672,702
0.982502,952
0.99232,976

Spread0.01Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.861,1431,143
0.852341,377
0.84401,417
0.83201,437
0.79611,498
0.78201,518
0.771441,662
0.73201,682
0.723872,069
0.719002,969
0.6062,975
0.03132,988

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Vagabund97Yes696.1
AiBirdYes400
MartysYes213.42
tradetosurvive1Yes185
monoclithYes160
HE110W0R1DYes100
lissartterYes79.96
LeChatonFatYes40
youtube-traderYes32
cpctbusinessYes29.99
AJSVYes25.2
LiquidityN00bYes25
Azure3Yes21
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
pmqianbaolaileYes20
2samYes20
FB87dB8Yes20
winexecutescaleYes20
pmmmmmmmmmmmmmmYes16.16
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:13:15SELLYes0.1320$2.60
08:38:44SELLYes0.1320$2.60
08:38:38SELLYes0.1320$2.60
08:27:29SELLNo0.8637$31.45
08:10:57SELLYes0.1320$2.60
08:10:53SELLYes0.1320$2.60
08:10:51SELLYes0.1320$2.60
08:10:50SELLYes0.1320$2.60
07:52:54SELLNo0.914$12.60
07:52:44SELLNo0.9626$25.00
07:52:26SELLNo0.9720$19.40
07:52:17SELLYes0.0220$0.40
07:52:11SELLYes0.0260420$0.52
07:52:11BUYYes0.149999991211$1.70
07:52:08SELLYes0.126$0.72
07:52:06BUYNo0.85535534141,001$856.34
07:32:06BUYNo0.84150$125.59
07:11:17SELLYes0.1620$3.20
07:11:17SELLYes0.160$0.00
07:11:15BUYNo0.83564$467.79
07:11:15BUYNo0.8474$61.75
06:25:23SELLYes0.163$0.41
05:15:12SELLNo0.77520$15.50
05:15:08SELLNo0.8279993077202$167.45
05:04:18SELLYes0.1231$3.72