2sam
0x936771df98ad5d10e9f72ca3b1409c30902e6eaf
- Realised P&L
- $-68.57
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $3.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.085 | $3.57 | −$3.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.40at 0.992Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.50at 0.945Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
- +$1.44at 0.992Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$0.90at 0.550WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 15?
- +$0.15at 0.992Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 14:43 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.724 | $137.56 |
| 09-15 14:43 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.725 | $7.25 |
| 09-15 07:03 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.943 | $471.50 |
| 09-15 04:13 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 09-15 03:13 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $405.00 |
| 09-14 08:25 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.87 | $9.19 |
| 09-14 08:25 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.8601937609 | $221.97 |
| 09-14 08:25 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 09-14 07:03 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.895 | $79.45 |
| 09-14 01:09 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | SELL | 0.9619333333 | $288.58 |
| 09-13 11:48 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $17.84 |
| 09-13 11:48 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $60.40 |
| 09-13 11:17 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0532 | $26.60 |
| 09-13 06:38 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of September 26? | SELL | 0.0130625 | $1.04 |
| 09-13 03:56 | Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.82 | $32.80 |