HE110W0R1D
0xa86f687d7eed8760decdbf3dd6d7ed59c1e8022c
- Realised P&L
- $-30.5k
- Volume
- $2.52M
- Markets traded
- 14,281
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14,281
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.11at 0.033Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$97.88at 0.002Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 1?
- +$89.98at 0.099Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 10?
- +$84.73at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?
- +$80.00at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 11-02 04:36 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.64 | $68.47 |
| 11-02 04:36 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $90.99 |
| 11-02 04:36 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.6504447533 | $74.88 |
| 11-02 04:36 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 11-02 04:36 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $20.10 |
| 11-02 04:34 | Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $3.20 |
| 11-02 04:29 | Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | SELL | 0.155 | $8.88 |
| 11-02 04:29 | Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | SELL | 0.148 | $6.32 |
| 11-02 04:21 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 11-02 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 11-02 04:03 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November? | SELL | 0.47 | $18.80 |
| 11-02 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.93 |
| 11-02 03:51 | Will Abdul El-Sayed run 0 to 3 points behind Jocelyn Benson? | SELL | 0.74 | $29.60 |
| 11-02 03:48 | Will the Republican Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms? | SELL | 0.88 | $17.60 |