PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HE110W0R1D

0xa86f687d7eed8760decdbf3dd6d7ed59c1e8022c

Realised P&L
$-30.5k
Volume
$2.52M
Markets traded
14,281
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14,281
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3650.350$70.10−$2.90
Will Texas be the closest Senate race in 2026? · No0.9120.914$36.58+$0.10
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.9580.947$34.61−$0.40
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · No0.9430.882$29.30−$2.01
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 2? · No0.9980.998$24.95+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on November 3? · No0.9980.998$24.95+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on November 2? · No0.9980.998$24.94−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on November 2? · No0.9980.998$24.94−$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on November 2? · No0.9980.995$24.86−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or higher on November 2? · No0.9960.993$24.81−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 2? · No0.9770.975$24.38−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 55°F or below on November 2? · No0.9980.999$19.97+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on November 3? · No0.9980.998$19.96+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on November 3? · No0.9980.998$19.96+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 3? · No0.9990.998$19.96−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 04:50Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on November 2?BUY0.998$4.99
11-02 04:36Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.64$68.47
11-02 04:36Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.66$90.99
11-02 04:36Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.6504447533$74.88
11-02 04:36Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.66$6.60
11-02 04:36Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.67$20.10
11-02 04:34Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$3.20
11-02 04:29Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?SELL0.155$8.88
11-02 04:29Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?SELL0.148$6.32
11-02 04:21Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?SELL0.8$80.00
11-02 04:15Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on November 2?SELL0.999$19.98
11-02 04:03Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?SELL0.47$18.80
11-02 04:02Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C on November 2?BUY0.999$9.93
11-02 03:51Will Abdul El-Sayed run 0 to 3 points behind Jocelyn Benson?SELL0.74$29.60
11-02 03:48Will the Republican Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?SELL0.88$17.60