FB87dB8
0xd30679bc23c91c6f958cefdd71c011f04f7a883a
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $758.3k
- Markets traded
- 3,575
- Open portfolio
- $45.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,575
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.580Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
- +$918.97at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$601.48at 0.893France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
- +$383.20at 0.617Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$365.85at 0.932Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 14:36 | Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 10-13 03:59 | Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 10-13 00:36 | Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 10-12 16:24 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.044 | $0.83 |
| 10-12 12:03 | Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 10-12 11:06 | Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.72 |
| 10-12 09:46 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.8 | $8.06 |
| 10-12 08:17 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.042 | $2.10 |
| 10-11 23:27 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.066 | $1.32 |
| 10-11 17:59 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 10-11 15:46 | Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.922 | $7.51 |
| 10-11 04:52 | Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.768 | $15.36 |
| 10-10 16:50 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.8 | $79.99 |
| 10-10 16:40 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 10-10 06:26 | Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October? | SELL | 0.8 | $8.00 |