PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FB87dB8

0xd30679bc23c91c6f958cefdd71c011f04f7a883a

Realised P&L
$-5.5k
Volume
$758.3k
Markets traded
3,575
Open portfolio
$45.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,575
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration81.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting? · No0.8400.785$14.91−$1.04
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026? · No0.8600.957$4.10+$0.41
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Song of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · Yes0.7700.795$3.38+$0.11
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No0.6800.155$3.10−$10.50
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day? · No0.7000.987$2.78+$0.81
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by December 31? · Yes0.1800.115$2.45−$1.38
Will Houthis target Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.115$2.30−$0.70
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? · Yes0.1600.095$1.90−$1.30
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? · No0.7000.745$1.89+$0.11
Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.7000.565$1.54−$0.37
Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1280.076$1.52−$1.04
Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň? · Yes0.7800.971$1.23+$0.24
Will Ahmed Aliyu win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election? · No0.2900.435$1.19+$0.40
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9530.951$1.02−$0.00
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? · Yes0.6460.585$0.82−$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 14:36Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.75$15.00
10-13 03:59Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?SELL0.77$15.40
10-13 00:36Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?SELL0.09$1.80
10-12 16:24Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.044$0.83
10-12 12:03Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?SELL0.04$0.80
10-12 11:06Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?SELL0.07$0.72
10-12 09:46Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?SELL0.8$8.06
10-12 08:17Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.042$2.10
10-11 23:27Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.066$1.32
10-11 17:59Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?SELL0.91$18.20
10-11 15:46Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?SELL0.922$7.51
10-11 04:52Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?SELL0.768$15.36
10-10 16:50Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?SELL0.8$79.99
10-10 16:40Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?SELL0.78$78.00
10-10 06:26Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?SELL0.8$8.00