PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.51. down 0.13 over the period, from 0.64. Range 0.36 to 0.82. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.85483483
0.86100583
0.8821604
0.9711616
0.9836652
0.9965717

Spread0.39Mid0.66

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4611
0.392021
0.23929
0.14100129
0.09150279
0.0220299
0.0160359

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5411
0.612021
0.77929
0.86100129
0.91150279
0.9820299
0.9960359

Spread0.39Mid0.35

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.15483483
0.14100583
0.1221604
0.0311616
0.0236652
0.0165717

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes535.38
alamedamemolaYes100
tradetosurvive1Yes76.88
funnydayYes60
rocky42001Yes41.83
NoSteinNoGateYes40
oneofthepplYes33
hp210210Yes11
earedbatYes10
GusaceYes5.88
flexer78Yes5
0xf528…7e5bYes4.75
almosthereNo325.22
GaditimaNo308
2B9SNo81.34
grinder1011No48.01
SmartBoyBillyNo40.02
erdos-baconatorNo22
pppnnNo20
johnashboughNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:26:06BUYNo0.4320$8.60
19:01:33BUYNo0.4220$8.40
18:55:28BUYNo0.4510$4.50
18:54:58BUYNo0.4410$4.40
18:38:22BUYYes0.4720$9.40
14:53:49BUYYes0.4720$9.40
13:45:08BUYYes0.4820$9.60
12:50:20BUYNo0.548$4.32
12:49:55BUYNo0.5411$5.94
07:53:14BUYYes0.5100$50.00
02:32:14BUYYes0.4740$18.80
20:03:02BUYNo0.53999992153$1.65
19:39:02BUYNo0.53999987734$2.20
19:22:33BUYNo0.53999997197$3.85
18:20:17BUYNo0.5414$7.56
17:06:45BUYNo0.5150$25.50
08:04:16BUYYes0.5140$20.40
04:46:50BUYYes0.4420$8.80
03:43:54BUYYes0.4428$12.32
03:43:50BUYNo0.5776100$57.76
03:21:41BUYNo0.510$5.00
21:54:49BUYNo0.458$3.60
21:53:38BUYNo0.4312$5.16
21:53:22SELLNo0.4220$8.40
21:24:50BUYYes0.565$2.80