almosthere
0xbd2b2070fc9c7e4fe5f0ed772ff7b7aa69d11a1b
- Realised P&L
- $-44.49
- Volume
- $33.0k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $8.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$516.77at 0.264Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$109.24at 0.551Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in September?
- +$80.47at 0.358Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$54.03at 0.701Will Sienna Spiro win Best New Artist at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
- +$52.07at 0.208Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 13:04 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 10-01 12:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? | BUY | 0.043 | $9.63 |
| 10-01 12:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 10-01 12:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? | BUY | 0.22 | $64.60 |
| 10-01 12:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.25 |
| 10-01 12:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.13 |
| 10-01 11:59 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.87 | $16.96 |
| 10-01 10:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.28 | $225.12 |
| 10-01 10:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.27 | $20.79 |
| 10-01 09:44 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $12.24 |
| 10-01 09:43 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 10-01 09:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 10-01 04:47 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.86 |
| 10-01 02:01 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.61 |
| 10-01 00:12 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.80 |