PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

almosthere

0xbd2b2070fc9c7e4fe5f0ed772ff7b7aa69d11a1b

Realised P&L
$-44.49
Volume
$33.0k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$8.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.2120.725$2.4k+$1.7k
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · No0.6750.690$2.0k+$44.43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6400.635$1.8k−$14.42
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4170.365$578.07−$82.21
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · No0.2520.310$559.70+$105.00
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No0.9530.978$349.15+$8.93
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4200.355$320.21−$58.63
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes0.2790.300$264.30+$18.39
Will "Verity" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.2250.220$75.61−$1.74
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? · Yes0.2200.200$58.73−$5.87
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? · Yes0.6040.705$52.88+$7.58
UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card) · King Green0.3100.325$32.17+$1.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? · Yes0.0420.037$22.46−$2.54
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? · Yes0.1330.135$18.36+$0.28
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.8890.282$17.49−$37.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 13:04Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?BUY0.41$2.05
10-01 12:54Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?BUY0.043$9.63
10-01 12:36Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?BUY0.32$1.60
10-01 12:36Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?BUY0.22$64.60
10-01 12:30Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?BUY0.13$3.25
10-01 12:06Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?BUY0.13$13.13
10-01 11:59Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.87$16.96
10-01 10:43Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.28$225.12
10-01 10:43Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.27$20.79
10-01 09:44Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.72$12.24
10-01 09:43Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.72$36.00
10-01 09:32Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?BUY0.17$1.70
10-01 04:47Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.007$1.86
10-01 02:01Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.24$3.61
10-01 00:12Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2$1.80