earedbat
0xd0fc04ed9f81acb0a21a76611c0040f8f0c55422
- Realised P&L
- $232.74
- Volume
- $25.7k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$21.94at 0.780Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 24-30?
- +$14.25at 0.618Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
- +$14.20at 0.470Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 20:24 | Will Inter Milan reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.24 |
| 10-13 19:56 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 19:55 | Will Manchester United reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 10-13 15:00 | Will Manchester City reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 10-13 15:00 | Will Inter Milan reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 10-13 14:58 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion finish first in UECL league phase? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.75 |
| 10-13 02:25 | Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 10-13 02:24 | Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.103 | $3.09 |
| 10-13 02:24 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 10-12 06:36 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 10-11 03:27 | Will Atalanta finish first in UECL league phase? | BUY | 0.118 | $2.48 |
| 10-11 03:26 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion finish first in UECL league phase? | BUY | 0.113 | $2.37 |
| 10-10 22:20 | Will Juventus finish top 8 in UEL league phase? | BUY | 0.65 | $45.50 |
| 10-10 21:08 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion finish top 8 in UECL league phase? | BUY | 0.71 | $21.29 |
| 10-10 09:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $36.00 |