PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Gusace

0x80bd604b698ad3fab848839668c2766122e8b925

Realised P&L
$-66.87
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$15.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2720.222$6.51−$1.49
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5500.487$4.43−$0.57
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October? · Yes0.6800.585$3.44−$0.56
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.4200.075$0.71−$3.29
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1700.021$0.13−$0.87
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · No0.4350.000$0.00−$7.89
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$2.00
Will anyone say "Trump" 3+ times during South Park's prediction market episode? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.4420.000$0.00−$5.00
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$3.50
Israel strikes Iran before 2026? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 07:47Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?BUY0.6799999932$4.00
02-19 15:26US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.44$4.07
02-19 15:26US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.229999916$2.00
02-19 15:25Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.83$2.44
02-19 15:25Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.133$1.56
02-19 15:25Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?SELL0.91$2.07
02-19 15:23US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.4299999809$3.82
11-23 19:30Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0849999286$1.00
11-16 16:21Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
11-16 06:11House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?BUY0.059999946$1.00
11-14 15:50Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.88$3.52
11-14 15:49Trump declares another national emergency by December 31?SELL0.7$2.59
11-10 16:24Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
11-07 20:15Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.12$1.26
11-05 19:09Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.68$2.00