Gusace
0x80bd604b698ad3fab848839668c2766122e8b925
- Realised P&L
- $-66.87
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $15.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.50at 0.820Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$2.87at 0.450Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
- +$2.50at 0.400Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
- +$2.42at 0.860Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$1.72at 0.742US government shutdown in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 07:47 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $4.00 |
| 02-19 15:26 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.07 |
| 02-19 15:26 | US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 02-19 15:25 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.83 | $2.44 |
| 02-19 15:25 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.133 | $1.56 |
| 02-19 15:25 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.07 |
| 02-19 15:23 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999809 | $3.82 |
| 11-23 19:30 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0849999286 | $1.00 |
| 11-16 16:21 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 11-16 06:11 | House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 11-14 15:50 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $3.52 |
| 11-14 15:49 | Trump declares another national emergency by December 31? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.59 |
| 11-10 16:24 | Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 11-07 20:15 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.26 |
| 11-05 19:09 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |