PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.300. down 0.045 over the period, from 0.346. Range 0.276 to 0.754. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3016969
0.35863132
0.35930162
0.371300462
0.379101563
0.46416579
0.46956635
0.470250885
0.474100985
0.483841,069
0.4921561,225
0.514621,287

Spread0.001Mid0.300

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.300510510
0.299100610
0.2655615
0.25464679
0.253286965
0.2522,8283,793
0.2514394,232
0.2501,9506,182
0.248166,198
0.2463386,535
0.2451,5008,035
0.240128,047

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.700510510
0.701100610
0.7355615
0.74664679
0.747286965
0.7482,8283,793
0.7494394,232
0.7501,9506,182
0.752166,198
0.7543386,535
0.7551,5008,035
0.760128,047

Spread0.001Mid0.700

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6996969
0.64263132
0.64130162
0.629300462
0.621101563
0.53616579
0.53156635
0.530250885
0.526100985
0.517841,069
0.5081561,225
0.486621,287

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
OverlookHotelYes4,485.21
chefradishYes3,792.9
notlosecryptoYes2,924.53
Optimus-Yes2,264.97
shovelingdiggingYes1,713.23
InterestingUserYes1,085.85
0xd24B7F5a1dFC83aaDE34c789525fF42DAb9218EE-1775738073524Yes936.62
0xc6d9…3a6eYes811.1
101456Yes791.46
OndraYes754.66
therootxxxYes596
JJoyce1904Yes569.3
OskoreiterYes489.76
maybebrianYes448.26
ThickAssHippoYes421.07
VolkuYes400
LornaPredictsYes345.45
JuulessYes314.62
0x1AA15e52Bcf1951a1E1019E29EfB2769fB83A37b-1764619995301Yes297.82
Elias.ThornwellYes283.54

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:38:36BUYYes0.3333683778755$251.58
20:11:55SELLNo0.6746631016187$126.16
18:37:00SELLYes0.333115$38.30
18:35:42SELLYes0.33645295455$18.45
18:35:37BUYYes0.40220$8.04
18:08:25SELLYes0.33632$10.75
18:08:09SELLYes0.3402540$13.61
18:07:16SELLNo0.57910$5.79
18:06:01SELLNo0.70318$12.86
18:05:58SELLYes0.29922$6.49
18:02:31SELLNo0.58151$29.60
18:02:22SELLNo0.581571428670$40.71
17:57:28SELLNo0.57928$16.24
17:57:12SELLNo0.57910$5.79
17:56:16SELLNo0.57972$41.46
17:55:03SELLYes0.24611$2.69
17:54:54SELLYes0.2475$1.23
17:54:43SELLYes0.24830$7.47
17:54:31SELLYes0.25154$13.54
17:44:30SELLYes0.456100$45.60
17:43:30SELLNo0.5110$0.21
17:43:28SELLYes0.41395904183,793$1570.10
15:16:10SELLNo0.4960$0.05
15:16:09SELLNo0.524105$55.02
15:15:37SELLNo0.4960$0.15