OverlookHotel
0x1d379e322ef813587a3e13ad79857c45edc7f4a4
- Realised P&L
- $-103.3k
- Volume
- $8.32M
- Markets traded
- 304
- Open portfolio
- $32.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded304
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.7kat 0.016Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?
- +$3.9kat 0.623Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
- +$1.4kat 0.090Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on June 13?
- +$1.4kat 0.668Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$1.3kat 0.02210-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 20:09 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $17.41 |
| 04-21 20:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.28 | $16.80 |
| 04-21 20:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.49 |
| 04-21 20:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 04-21 20:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.28 | $17.26 |
| 04-21 20:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.27 | $4.86 |
| 04-21 20:07 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 04-21 20:07 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $425.01 |
| 04-21 20:07 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $102.95 |
| 04-21 20:06 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | BUY | 0.17 | $74.73 |
| 04-21 20:06 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.72 |
| 04-21 20:06 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.60 |
| 04-21 20:06 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $44.00 |
| 04-21 20:06 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $13.28 |
| 04-21 20:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.279047619 | $58.60 |