shovelingdigging
0xe904443b4084bbda216e344353a44cd4324a2d9f
- Realised P&L
- $53.9k
- Volume
- $1.38M
- Markets traded
- 1,008
- Open portfolio
- $50.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,008
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.1kat 0.162Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$6.6kat 0.340Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?
- +$5.0kat 0.197Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
- +$4.7kat 0.265Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
- +$3.7kat 0.238Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:00 | Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.3803753524 | $860.77 |
| 11-01 18:19 | Spread: Bills (-3.5) | SELL | 0.26 | $96.30 |
| 11-01 17:52 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 17:52 | Spread: Rams (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 17:51 | Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4899999992 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 17:51 | Spread: Lions (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4799999996 | $400.00 |
| 11-01 17:50 | Spread: Bengals (-13.5) | BUY | 0.4799999996 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 17:50 | Raiders vs. Jets | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 17:49 | Spread: Bills (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5399999991 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 13:58 | Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 song this week? | BUY | 0.1819089649 | $60.39 |
| 11-01 13:58 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week? | BUY | 0.1653337825 | $88.34 |
| 11-01 13:57 | Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week? | BUY | 0.3677571477 | $119.24 |
| 11-01 12:36 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.5932897623 | $135.26 |
| 11-01 09:01 | Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.35 | $86.07 |
| 11-01 09:01 | Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.37 | $210.36 |