shovelingdigging
0xe904443b4084bbda216e344353a44cd4324a2d9f
- Realised P&L
- $34.2k
- Volume
- $1.03M
- Markets traded
- 776
- Open portfolio
- $15.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded776
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.6kat 0.340Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?
- +$2.9kat 0.331Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?
- +$1.8kat 0.452Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
- +$1.4kat 0.565Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?
- +$1.4kat 0.631Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:53 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027? | SELL | 0.8122456771 | $542.54 |
| 09-17 08:22 | Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? | SELL | 0.7174723259 | $1.5k |
| 09-17 08:03 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week? | SELL | 0.89 | $183.74 |
| 09-16 17:25 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 16:33 | Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 40k and 50k? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 09-16 16:32 | Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? | SELL | 0.6463040006 | $530.05 |
| 09-16 05:40 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.7k |
| 09-15 14:54 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0305078508 | $3.73 |
| 09-15 14:02 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.6681673947 | $1.1k |
| 09-15 07:18 | Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 40k and 50k? | BUY | 0.77 | $154.00 |
| 09-15 05:41 | Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? | BUY | 0.6480037665 | $688.18 |
| 09-15 05:20 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 09-15 05:15 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4291788107 | $142.83 |
| 09-15 05:12 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | BUY | 0.649194105 | $1.0k |
| 09-14 20:38 | Will "Westside Whimsy - Jhené Aiko" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of September 26? | BUY | 0.7870967742 | $122.00 |