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Traders

maybebrian

0x580a99479f35c7498e62a57b4a4a4a41682da236

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$82.9k
Markets traded
163
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded163
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6500.825$253.85+$53.85
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.6250.830$174.47+$43.18
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.6000.875$145.83+$45.83
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.7400.920$124.32+$24.32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2710.065$103.93−$330.06
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.2100.305$87.14+$27.14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.5770.992$85.92+$35.92
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5200.885$85.10+$35.10
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? · No0.5970.790$63.20+$15.43
SSI public model released by December 31, 2026? · No0.3670.745$60.91+$30.91
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5400.535$53.50−$0.50
Will Sabrina Carpenter rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? · Yes0.0700.185$52.86+$32.86
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5791.000$51.79+$21.79
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? · Yes0.4240.425$50.16+$0.16
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.405$47.09−$2.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 16:00Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1075268817$10.00
10-11 16:00Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2699999966$20.00
10-11 16:00Next James Bond announced by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5299999868$20.00
10-11 15:58Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.1099999999$10.00
10-11 15:53Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0285894836$10.00
10-11 15:49Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.0105616899$20.00
10-10 11:29Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?BUY0.3399999995$40.00
10-10 11:12Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.2099999998$30.00
10-08 20:28Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1539999998$10.00
10-08 20:21Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4199999966$30.00
10-08 20:19Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4299999991$50.00
10-08 20:03Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.1$30.00
10-04 17:01Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.71$13.94
10-04 16:59Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
10-03 15:55US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.6172739868$53.46