JJoyce1904
0xe298aba15580c800a8dc650fc26c2eb5a9ad9ef4
- Realised P&L
- $982.03
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $85.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$467.46at 0.161Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
- +$171.93at 0.125Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
- +$69.72at 0.661Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?
- +$48.57at 0.622Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?
- +$37.03at 0.661Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 18:14 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October? | SELL | 0.0025333 | $0.51 |
| 10-16 15:17 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.2823333333 | $42.35 |
| 10-15 13:52 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $44.86 |
| 10-14 14:32 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | SELL | 0.6514 | $97.71 |
| 10-14 12:39 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | BUY | 0.65 | $97.50 |
| 10-10 15:54 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October? | SELL | 0.46 | $17.94 |
| 10-10 14:03 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October? | SELL | 0.4868693548 | $30.19 |
| 10-09 20:54 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 10-09 20:50 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 10-09 20:49 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 10-08 13:41 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.52 | $78.00 |
| 10-07 14:23 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.5002857143 | $35.02 |
| 10-07 13:50 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 10-06 14:49 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | SELL | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 10-05 16:55 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.633 | $16.14 |