0xd24B7F5a1dFC83aaDE34c789525fF42DAb9218EE-1775738073524
0xd24b7f5a1dfc83aade34c789525ff42dab9218ee
- Realised P&L
- $260.30
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $281.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.300 | $281.45 | +$221.46 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.79 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 10? · Up | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.76 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.63 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June? · No | 0.149 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Up | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET · Up | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.77at 0.203Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?
- +$53.87at 0.160Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?
- +$37.41at 0.083Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$14.99at 0.319Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of June 1 2026?
- +$12.60at 0.300Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.0099052856 | $8.79 |
| 08-02 17:10 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | SELL | 0.2099337748 | $9.51 |
| 07-31 11:58 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.1516300227 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 14:48 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.1556776297 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 10:40 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July? | SELL | 0.0117461875 | $7.47 |
| 07-23 07:44 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July? | BUY | 0.0382826365 | $24.35 |
| 07-22 03:34 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July? | SELL | 0.0307348473 | $16.19 |
| 07-21 12:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | SELL | 0.16 | $10.22 |
| 07-20 03:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.1399999884 | $8.94 |
| 07-19 18:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 17:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 16:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 16:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 16:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |