PolyBot

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Traders

0x1AA15e52Bcf1951a1E1019E29EfB2769fB83A37b-1764619995301

0x1aa15e52bcf1951a1e1019e29efb2769fb83a37b

Realised P&L
$749.81
Volume
$44.9k
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? · No0.6320.615$1.2k$33.13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4600.495$107.61+$7.61
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.3000.310$103.33+$3.33
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? · Yes0.3360.300$89.50$10.50
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.265$79.50+$19.50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2900.325$67.24+$7.24
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.1050.134$38.07+$8.07
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No0.1000.095$19.95$1.05
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0460.043$18.48$1.52
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0850.045$9.00$8.00
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0100.021$2.05+$1.05
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0200.009$1.27$1.73
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6520.000$0.00$65.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.4230.000$0.00$135.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.0450.000$0.00$24.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 12:18Another Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.19$47.50
09-17 05:31Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.1$10.00
09-17 05:28Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.1$11.00
09-17 05:26Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.046$20.00
09-17 05:20Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.2$50.00
09-17 00:13Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$60.00
09-16 22:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.2899999996$60.00
09-16 22:17Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.2999999994$100.00
09-16 22:10Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.4599999986$100.00
09-16 02:09Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?BUY0.1052039565$30.00
09-15 04:39Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6283141152$1000.00
09-14 22:52Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?BUY0.3357679329$100.00
09-13 08:48Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$105.61
09-12 22:41Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.384$115.23
09-10 04:37Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.167$16.70