0x1AA15e52Bcf1951a1E1019E29EfB2769fB83A37b-1764619995301
0x1aa15e52bcf1951a1e1019e29efb2769fb83a37b
- Realised P&L
- $749.81
- Volume
- $44.9k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$498.58at 0.698Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$163.76at 0.227Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$156.47at 0.223Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$136.79at 0.864Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
- +$124.13at 0.742Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:18 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $47.50 |
| 09-17 05:31 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 05:28 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.1 | $11.00 |
| 09-17 05:26 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.046 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 05:20 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 00:13 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $60.00 |
| 09-16 22:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2899999996 | $60.00 |
| 09-16 22:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 22:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4599999986 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 02:09 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.1052039565 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 04:39 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6283141152 | $1000.00 |
| 09-14 22:52 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.3357679329 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 08:48 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $105.61 |
| 09-12 22:41 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.384 | $115.23 |
| 09-10 04:37 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.167 | $16.70 |