chefradish
0xd1eed20edd22a289839379e89e3470ea1742a8ae
- Realised P&L
- $-10.6k
- Volume
- $4.60M
- Markets traded
- 934
- Open portfolio
- $681.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded934
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.0kat 0.271Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
- +$5.1kat 0.406Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$3.0kat 0.563Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
- +$2.1kat 0.071Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.167Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 03:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1548487998 | $50.00 |
| 10-30 03:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999998 | $34.00 |
| 10-30 03:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $28.00 |
| 10-30 03:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0533586293 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 03:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $12.00 |
| 10-30 03:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | SELL | 0.9231447969 | $254.95 |
| 10-30 02:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | BUY | 0.8679999998 | $239.73 |
| 10-29 15:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 14:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.4799999962 | $40.00 |
| 10-28 20:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.4199999958 | $35.76 |
| 10-27 14:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $7.00 |
| 10-27 14:33 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.962202056 | $70.00 |
| 10-27 14:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.7081561968 | $300.00 |
| 10-26 15:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26? | BUY | 0.9294135397 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 15:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |